NFL Monday Night Football Best Bet (11/25/24)

Author: Dylan Lieck | November 25, 2024 | 10:30 A.M. CST

We’ve been catching our stride in the NFL the last couple weeks. We’ve climbed out of an early season hole, and we are climbing back towards that 55-60% range on the season. We will attempt to keep it going tonight. Best of luck in all your wagers.

Best Bet: Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Chargers

The Baltimore Ravens travel to LA off a loss here for the 4th time this season. The Ravens are ELITE off a loss under John Harbaugh, especially off a division loss, which occurred in their most recent game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. I really believe the Ravens will bounce back here, but they’ve got some key injuries to their defense that has kept me hesitant to back them minus the three. Roquan Smith (LB) is out. The Ravens are already thin at LB with star LB Kyle Hamilton to moving to Safety due to lack of depth at that position. That worries me considering those are their two best run defenders on the second level. The Chargers are extremely run heavy, and could very well attack that level of the field often in the short-intermediate pass game as well. All of that said, I think the Ravens are going to have a huge game offensively tonight. This offense has been HISTORICALLY GOOD before last week’s performance. And while it is a bit concerning in a copycat league, I don’t think the Steelers did anything all that new to the Ravens. It was a tough, road divisional game, and those performances happen. I would be shocked to not see the Ravens have a big offensive night here, coming off a 10-point outing.

With all that in mind, we’re going to look to a different market. We’re going to take the Ravens Team Total OVER 26.5 here. I’ve seen this juiced at -123 which is fine. Don’t take it above -130. I really see a big offensive performance coming here tonight. I wanted to back the Ravens -3 but with the defensive injuries I think we are better off going with this team total. There’s a chance they score 27+ and still lose. But there’s no shot they win the game scoring 21 points with their secondary and their defense in its current form. We used this type of wager on Friday night with UTSA over their team total and got there easily. Let’s go back to the well and go to the Ravens TT OVER 26.5

Official Play: Baltimore Ravens TEAM TOTAL OVER 26.5 (-123)

Play Rating: 2-Star