Best Bets College Football (11/30/24)
Author: Dylan Lieck | November 30, 2024 | 4:39 A.M. CST
Best Bet #1: 2 Team Teaser = Notre Dame -1 vs. USC | Arizona State -2 vs. Arizona
I traditionally HATE college football teasers. Usually the variance in CFB makes them negative EV plays. However, with how some of these big favorites have trended I found some value in a specific one here. The first team is Notre Dame. This is actually the team I like the best to win outright. I just don’t see a world in which USC wins the game outright. If Miller Moss was still starting for the Trojans, this is a game I would completely stay away from. However, for some reason Lincoln Riley decided to make a QB change a couple weeks back. Jayden Maiava just is not a good QB. And I think his inability to pass the ball will be a big problem for USC. You just cannot be one dimensional against Notre Dame’s Defense. I like ND to win this outright, however they rarely blow out USC in this rivalry at the Rose Bowl. So that’s partially why I like taking this down to -1. I did give out ND -7 on the podcast, but I think winning outright is an absolute LOCK here. ND has much more to play for as well.
On the other side, Arizona State is a team that is peaking at the right time. They are playing to essentially go to the Big 12 Title game. It’s not a fully win and in scenario, but it’s close. And they are facing the team that I deem the second worst team in the conference in Arizona. Yes, it’s a rivalry, but I just would be very surprised to see this be an outright upset. I don’t really love laying 8, though, with a team like ASU who has trouble winning by margin. I could see the backdoor being open late with that number.
So we’re going to tease those two teams for our first best bet. I love this play. Barring big upset, we should cash this relatively easily. There’s a decent chance both cover the actual number.
Official Play: ND -1 | Arizona State -2
Play Rating: 2-Star
Best Bet #2 (Total of the Week): Kansas @ Baylor OVER 61
I’m not going to break this one down in depth because I already did so on the podcast. If you want a full breakdown, checkout my pick there, as I explain why I LOVE this game to be a shootout. Give me the OVER here for best bet number 2
Official Play: Kansas @ Baylor OVER 61
Play Rating: 2-Star
